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Diameter signalling traffic will grow at over 20% per year for a while – Oracle

Oracle integrated cloud

Oracle Communications has published its latest LTE Diameter Signalling Index and it expects global LTE traffic to grow by at least 20% every year until 2021.

This year Oracle expectDiameter signalling traffic to hit 289 million messages per second globally and by 2021 this should have doubled to 595 million. This is mainly down to smartphone use these days but is expected to be increasingly derived from IoT uses such as connected cars.

Oracle diameter siangalling table

“With consumer expectations at an all-time high, it’s more critical than ever that CSPs innovate and plan for continued diameter signalling growth in order to stay relevant,” said Doug Suriano, SVP and GM of Oracle Communications. “The cloud continues to offer one of the clearest avenues for CSPs to accelerate and achieve these goals.”

Here’s what the report has to say about the regional breakdown.

Latin America and the Caribbean continues to show accelerated growth in Diameter networks. The region will generate 52 million MPS by 2021, a CAGR of 34 percent. Brazil is the largest contributor of Diameter signaling, followed by Mexico.

The Middle East will reach 27.9 million MPS of Diameter signaling by 2021, a CAGR of 23 percent. Turkey and Iran are the largest generators in the region.

Africa continues to show strong growth in Diameter signaling. The region will generate 20 million MPS by 2021, a CAGR of 63 percent. Egypt is the top generator, followed by Nigeria and South Africa.

Central and Southern Asia will account for 10 percent of the world’s Diameter signaling, reaching 62.4 million MPS, a CAGR of 38 percent, by 2021. Policy management is the largest generator of Diameter signaling in the region, generating 10.4 percent of the world’s policy-related Diameter signaling. Pakistan, followed by India, is the largest generators.

Oceania, Eastern and South-Eastern Asia generates nearly half of the world’s Diameter signaling (45 percent). By 2021, the region will generate 265 million MPS of Diameter signaling, a CAGR of 18 percent. The region is also responsible for 44 percent of the world’s policy Diameter signaling, generating 131 million MPS by 2021. China alone will generate 83.5 million MPS of policy generated Diameter signaling by 2021. Indonesia is also showing strong growth.

North America leads the world in LTE penetration as service providers move aggressively to sunset 2G and 3G services in favor of 4G/5G. The region will show moderate growth in the coming year, generating 59.3 million MPS by 2021, a CAGR of 12 percent.

Eastern and Western Europe. Eastern Europe will generate 48 million MPS of Diameter signaling, a CAGR of 46 percent by 2021. Russia, followed by Poland, are the strongest generators in the region. In comparison, Western Europe will generate 61 million MPS, a CAGR of 23 percent. The United Kingdom generates the most Diameter signaling in the region today, but Germany will surpass the UK generating 6.4 million MPS of Diameter signaling by 2021.

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