Cisco shares forecast of mobile data growth to 2017

Global IP traffic is set to grow three-fold between 2012 and 2017, according to research from Cisco. According to the firm’s Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast, more than a trillion gigabytes will be transmitted over IP networks each year by 2017.

One of the key drivers behind this growth will be more users; around 3.6 billion internet users by 2017, representing almost half (48 per cent) of the world’s projected population of 7.6 billion. In 2012, there were 2.3 billion internet users—about 32 per cent of the world’s population.

In addition, there will be more than 19 billion global network connections by 2017, Cisco said. These will include fixed and mobile devices, as well as M2M appliances. There were 12 billion connections in 2012.

Cisco’s forecast also projects that globally, the average fixed broadband speed will increase 3.5-fold from 2012 to 2017, from 11.3 Mbps to 39 Mbps. Users will also consume three trillion minutes of online video per month on fixed and wireless networks, which equates to six million years of video per month; more than two years worth of video every second.

The role of “non-PC” devices is set to grow even further too, Cisco reported. In 2012, 26 per cent of internet traffic originated from non-PC devices, but by 2017 the non-PC share of traffic will grow to 49 per cent. While PC-originated traffic is set to grow at a 14 per cent CAGR, other devices will have higher traffic growth rates over the forecast period: connected TVs are set to increase traffic by 24 per cent, tablets 104 per cent, smartphones 79 per cent and machine-to-machine (M2M) modules 82 per cent.

“With more and more people, things, processes and data being connected in the Internet of Everything, the intelligent network and the service providers who operate them are more relevant than ever,” commented Doug Webster, vice president of product and solutions marketing, Cisco.



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