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Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei dominance beginning to fade – analyst

Market share estimates from TrendForce suggest challengers to trio of  dominant network infrastructure vendors are beginning to gain traction.

This is not to say that there will a dramatic decline in fortunes for these companies, but it is an encouraging sign for an industry which has been craving competition and diversity in the supplier ecosystem for years. Perhaps viable alternatives are beginning to scale.

TrendForce market share estimates for 5G base stations
Supplier 2019 market share 2020 market share
Ericsson 30% 26.5%
Huawei 27.5% 28.5%
Nokia 24.5% 22%
Samsung 6.5% 8.5%
ZTE 6.5% 5%
Other 5% 9.5%

While Huawei and ZTE have certainly seen their prospects in the international markets erode, it is always worth bearing in mind the domestic Chinese market is forecast to be bigger than the rest of the world combined over the next few years. Huawei and ZTE want to be more than Chinese suppliers, but there is certainly enough domestic business for the pair to survive without success in the international markets.

It is also worth bearing in mind that Samsung has benefited considerably from the aggressive 5G deployment in South Korea, and North America. These markets will begin to level off before too long, and perhaps then we will see how much of a competitive force the firm is when in more direct competition with other rivals.

But it is the ‘Other’ category which most people will be interested in. This is where the OpenRAN community sits, and while there is certainly interest, this is a technology in its embryonic days. That said, the likes of NEC, Fujitsu and Parallel Wireless are talking a good game, albeit an unvalidated one.

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31 comments

  1. Avatar Naveed 05/08/2020 @ 5:26 am

    Nokia, huawei and Ericson should break down other brands monoply in market and over come

  2. Avatar Lino gao 05/08/2020 @ 5:59 am

    Forget about Huawie and ZTE they already banned from all G7 member states as this gross chinese goverment uses them as a pipeline of information that flows into the hand of PLA so they can easily cracking down those poor chinks critics to the bastard communists.

  3. Avatar Thomas Foo 05/08/2020 @ 6:26 am

    UK will regret her decision to ban Huawei as it will set her back on 5G development and usage.
    Safety concerns are all connoted by Trump to stem Huawei progress out of jealousy.
    The West will regret in future as they are forcing Huawei and Chinese government to seek ways to break away from this unfair and unjust strangulation.

  4. Avatar Rajeev Vadjikar 05/08/2020 @ 7:24 am

    The market share of Huawei has been shown to have increased by 1% in 2020, this seems difficult to believe, considering their enormous contract cancellations in the US, UK and EU, even if the Chinese market is growing. The 5G Telecom technology is still not yet implemented on large scale , but the article mentions aggressive 5G deployment in South Africa and North America, this also appears uncertain. The disruptive rise of Reliance Jio in India, as a 4GLTE CSP, utilizing Samsung Telecom gear deserves mention. Also, mentionable are their ambitious plans to roll out 5GNR in India utilizing IP based connectivity and ORAN solutions.

  5. Avatar howard tan 05/08/2020 @ 7:36 am

    Honestly open net is a failure and never reliable only for ppl who like cheap trail…how can military n other critical applications depends on open Rand….the world will go backwards Instead of forward bcos of the western selfish culture

  6. Avatar Kristian Koksn 05/08/2020 @ 8:19 am

    The point here is whether it is market competition or political factors at play.

    If it is strictly market competition, expect a very healthy pricing b quality gears from 5 G implementation.

    Political involvement can mean anything to 5G. It is not even HEALTHY TO SPECULATE WHAT THE CORRUPTION CAN BE ABOUT.

    THE LOSERS BE THE USERS N TECHNOLOGY ITSELF.

  7. Avatar Jerome 05/08/2020 @ 11:55 am

    This report on its title looks like a general comments on all three giants are decling in the future. But reading in detail, it’s just like those hyprocite report from America. The only purpose is trying discredit China product by misleading numbers and by ignoring their sound reputation globally.

    Open ran solution is fine if it work. However it will be lag behind at least 5 years and it’s still a fantasy at this moment. Open ran is not possible to
    function between core 5g and base station. If somebody try to make it work it will be fragile and take at least 10 years to function. It’s unstable , slow, and attract hacker attacking, eventually will be removed. A good place to put is between base station and customer end. In this case all current telecom gaints are all free to compete for their long time developed hardware, what disadvantages will they have?

    • Avatar Kedar Kulkarni 05/08/2020 @ 3:24 pm

      Stick to Weibo if you don’t like Western commentary. We can’t go on your media and criticise anything related to China, why should you be able to talk nonsense, stir things up and criticise ours?

    • Avatar Peter 06/08/2020 @ 5:37 am

      Huawei will be banned in more countries from 5G network….. Dont worry about that…..India, Japan, Canada, New Zealand, Germany, Italy and more to follow…and u say China have reputation globally, sounds like a joke now and the whole world knows it……

  8. Avatar Brian 05/08/2020 @ 2:23 pm

    I disagree, Jerome. If service providers opt for FPGA SmartNICs as a platform for disaggregating many of the pieces of the network infrastructure, it can work as well as ASIC-based solutions, with a lot more agility. And better yet, because it’s programmable, it’s futureproof and can save the operators a lot of money in the long-run.

    There are solutions available today over FPGA SmartNICs for sections of the 5G network – see Ethernity Networks, who has a working 5G UPF offloaded to FPGA. It won’t be long before this can be applied to the CU and the DU as well.

  9. Avatar Larry 05/08/2020 @ 3:24 pm

    This says nothing

  10. Avatar Janshanti 05/08/2020 @ 4:08 pm

    Thanks for information about Nokia.

  11. Avatar ladakhchina 05/08/2020 @ 4:18 pm

    this artcle tell the big lie about the china.you know huawei have best phone and 5g.china is the very trust country.all country need give respect now.western country need watch out.dont believe the lie!china invent the 5g you see we have best tecnolgy.look the number from the china we have fact and we never tell the lie.

    • Avatar LetThereBeLight 05/08/2020 @ 11:23 pm

      The fear of the dictatorship and it’s fruits is grounded given the humanitarian crises in China. Also, 5G was invented in the US, NASA and M2Mi. Look it up. Started around 2009, only in 2012 Huawei was invited to the table. Luckily we try to be an open world. Unlike China. Not allowing most of the Western media, websites, brands, factories, … Stop spreading lies.

    • Avatar Igor Lifanov 06/08/2020 @ 3:37 am

      Are you an expert in mobile telecommunication?

    • Avatar Oi 08/08/2020 @ 11:10 pm

      Huawei’s technology is great and they are certainly a technology leader in many respects, but what Huawei does is by no means automatically better than what Ericsson or Nokia do. Both companies have much longer traditions building telecom networks than Huawei, and both win (and have won) plenty of international contracts where Huawei was an option too. The reality is that there are three giants in this area, and they all have strengths and weaknesses… UK ditching Huawei is an issue not because Huawei is better than Ericsson (they’re not), but because much of UK’s 4G infrastructure was built by Huawei…

  12. Avatar Telco lover 05/08/2020 @ 4:59 pm

    Interesting observations as the other new players are gaining market at the expense of existing ones. I guess the cheapest one with acceptable quality will eventually be the winner. Just hope that the industrial espionage can be avoided as some of them are good in it.

  13. Avatar john Peterson 05/08/2020 @ 5:28 pm

    Unfortunately China is a Communist country which certainly has had problems with integrity. Compition is ruthless and China is at it best when it comes to it. The Chinese government plays a big role in all of their commerce which includes bank rolling product and services, it’s hard for Corporate to compete successfully against that. The playing field is tilted in their favor.

  14. Avatar Edmo 05/08/2020 @ 5:49 pm

    This report is misleading. How can leaders like Huawei, Ericson in 5G start to fade when they are implementing 5G technologies and launching new products daily on the global market?

  15. Avatar Saad 05/08/2020 @ 5:50 pm

    The huawei phobia continues. The detractors need psychiatric help

    • Avatar Lee 06/08/2020 @ 2:50 am

      It so happens that there is no psychiatric help that can fix ignorance.

  16. Avatar Abodenns 05/08/2020 @ 7:34 pm

    Well said, keep it up… Never Mind the crazy western medias with their know it all attitude. Up huawei

  17. Avatar Oliver Harris 05/08/2020 @ 8:41 pm

    Reading the replies about makes me chuckle, the English used is terrible. Might they have been Chinese praising their own companies???

  18. Avatar Ikwuka Tochukwu Jude 05/08/2020 @ 9:58 pm

    As a matter of fact, Huawei has the best Phone 📱 currently. That I can bet for sure. Notwithstanding that I am not and advocate of 5G.

  19. Avatar Jan Hoppe 05/08/2020 @ 10:07 pm

    China trolls infested everywhere everything
    It will take 10 years before they can make advanced enough chips. So trolls just show ignorance

  20. Avatar Gregory Zeng 05/08/2020 @ 10:27 pm

    TheDonald claimed that USC’S 6G network will replace the 5G network. Is that believed? This November USA election should tell us the truth.

  21. Avatar Paul Clancy 06/08/2020 @ 12:24 am

    Hauwei and ZTE will fade as the world wakes up to the evil CCP. The Chinese communist party cannot be trusted at all. Nokia and erikksen will rule 5G for the next few years at least.

  22. Avatar Brain 06/08/2020 @ 8:54 am

    The report is not trustful rather it’s just to give misconception about China’s product. I think from di report is from US.

  23. Avatar Fernando Garcia 06/08/2020 @ 9:21 pm

    Misleading title Huawei actually gained market share in 2020. No battle against Apple, even though all Apple products are nade in China just like Huawei.

  24. Avatar Sam 06/08/2020 @ 11:50 pm

    Interesting comments from the Chinese government, at least use a language translator next time …

  25. Avatar Jerome 16/09/2020 @ 3:45 pm

    Open ran looks like a new idea, however its a gimmick. Open ran is not possible to
    function between core 5g and base station since it is not hard wired, unstable , slow. and attract hacker attacking. They will all regret this ideas to put in core to base, the open software will invite tremendous virus attack just like our pc systems.

    However open ran is a great idea to put it between base station and customer end. In this case all current telecom gaints are all free to compete for their long time developed hardware, but this is a trend that those gaints do not rule out to go with it. Today Errison chief proves my points 2 months ago, open ran will risk on its security, and there is no solution on it.

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